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The Economic Analyst

Economy

Predictions and analysis of the current and future drivers of economic growth in Canada and the world.
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Investing

Thoughts on building your portfolio: asset allocation, stocks, bonds, commodities, speculative investments, gold/silver.
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Primers

Mandatory reading for anyone new to the site. These articles are a one-stop overview of the macro factors affecting the Canadian economy.
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- Primer Articles
  - What is deflation?
  - The dangers of mass psychology (or why overwhelming majorities are always wrong)
- Video Primers
  - New Video Primer- CMHC
  - Toronto condo data; China about to hit a wall?; Fiscal austerity to weigh on public sector jobs; The Age of Deleveraging; Another video primer

Real Estate

A focus on Canadian real estate and a possible 'made in Canada' housing bubble: Discussion, analysis, predictions and advice.
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Social Trends

Predictions and discussion on the changing nature of societal norms: frugality, savings, social unrest, austerity, etc.
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- Global Trends
  - Steve Keen discusses debt, housing, and the economy
  - Employment number misses consensus; US consumers cutting back....will Canadians follow?; Another great CMHC video
- Canadian Trends
  - The social fallout of a dying credit bubble
  - If you, personally, want a “soft landing” you had better make sure you have a good parachute.

Global

Credit bites back

NOVEMBER 30, 2011

Readers may be interested in a fascinating paper by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco titled, "When Credit Bites Back: Leverage, Business Cycles, and Crises." It's a must-read.

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Flow of bad news...

NOVEMBER 23, 2011

The flow of bad news out of Europe and Asia this morning is quite troubling. These are the headlines making me nervous this morning....in no particular order

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Europe heading back into recession; OECD leading indicators decline again; Interest rate cut still priced in

NOVEMBER 21, 2011

Europe looks to be headed back into recession. Will Canada follow?

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Canadian employment withers; Vancouver and area inventory builds as prices feel the heat; China's property bubble deflating?

NOVEMBER 07, 2011

Canadian employment numbers missed big...

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More News

OCTOBER 20, 2011
Ed Clark on the Canadian economy; Retail sales preview...blue Christmas?
OCTOBER 14, 2011
The week that was; Economics is all about "demand and demand"; Sherry Cooper sees positive demographic trends?
OCTOBER 11, 2011
TD on debt in Canada; OECD leading indicators signal Canadian slowdown
OCTOBER 04, 2011
Eurozone debt woes intensify....banks in the crosshairs; World markets roiled; Canadian CEOs bearish on economy
SEPTEMBER 30, 2011
July GDP in line with expectations; China starting to buckle?; ECRI says US is back in recession
SEPTEMBER 25, 2011
The rubber meets the road: Crucial weeks coming up for Canadian and global economies
SEPTEMBER 22, 2011
Market panic, gray swans, and a eulogy for the debt-driven Canadian consumer
SEPTEMBER 13, 2011
Leading indicators point to slowdown for Canada, US; Canadian debt burdens continue to grow
SEPTEMBER 09, 2011
Slew of negative data: Jobs, industry profitability, recovery in OECD nations all stall
AUGUST 29, 2011
European debt crisis deepens; Refinancing activity drops 40% in Canada...We now know why consumer credit growth is slowing
AUGUST 23, 2011
Revisiting stock picks; 5 articles well worth the read
AUGUST 08, 2011
Where to start on a day like today...