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The Economic Analyst

Economy

Predictions and analysis of the current and future drivers of economic growth in Canada and the world.
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Investing

Thoughts on building your portfolio: asset allocation, stocks, bonds, commodities, speculative investments, gold/silver.
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Primers

Mandatory reading for anyone new to the site. These articles are a one-stop overview of the macro factors affecting the Canadian economy.
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- Primer Articles
  - What is deflation?
  - The dangers of mass psychology (or why overwhelming majorities are always wrong)
- Video Primers
  - New Video Primer- CMHC
  - Toronto condo data; China about to hit a wall?; Fiscal austerity to weigh on public sector jobs; The Age of Deleveraging; Another video primer

Real Estate

A focus on Canadian real estate and a possible 'made in Canada' housing bubble: Discussion, analysis, predictions and advice.
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Social Trends

Predictions and discussion on the changing nature of societal norms: frugality, savings, social unrest, austerity, etc.
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- Global Trends
  - Steve Keen discusses debt, housing, and the economy
  - Employment number misses consensus; US consumers cutting back....will Canadians follow?; Another great CMHC video
- Canadian Trends
  - The social fallout of a dying credit bubble
  - If you, personally, want a “soft landing” you had better make sure you have a good parachute.

Taking on the Mainstream Media

The week that was; Economics is all about "demand and demand"; Sherry Cooper sees positive demographic trends?

OCTOBER 14, 2011

It's been a good week for the stock market bulls. I also learned this week that economics is now about "demand and demand", while Sherry Cooper taught me that demographic trends are supportive of more than just sales of Depends and Viagra.

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Bias, denial, and our warped perception: Why the obvious can be so difficult to see

SEPTEMBER 11, 2011

When you’re surrounded by crazy, it starts to seem normal. It often takes someone on the outside looking in to be able to see the craziness for what it really is.

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Debunking the supposed drivers of Vancouver's crazy real estate market

AUGUST 25, 2011

What's really driving this crazy market? More to the point, what's NOT driving it...

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Subprime lending in Canada: Wading through the rhetoric

JULY 31, 2011

Are Canadian banks engaging subprime lending? The reality is that there is significant rhetoric on both sides of the debate...

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More News

JULY 19, 2011
Debunking two ridiculous stories about the Vancouver housing market
JULY 08, 2011
The superficial appeal of the 'population growth drives Canadian house price' argument: Does it hold water?
JULY 06, 2011
Misleading averages and bad science
JUNE 25, 2011
Do mortgage rule changes = market manipulation?; Consumer credit turns negative....will mortgage debt follow?
JUNE 11, 2011
Helmut Pastrick and the Twilight Zone
MAY 29, 2011
The real estate industry spin machine in overdrive: Some Sunday reading to make you chuckle
APRIL 21, 2011
Looks like we've got the attention of Canadian Business...
MARCH 22, 2011
Understanding The Economist data on Canadian housing
MARCH 15, 2011
B of A / Merril Lynch on Canadian housing...part 2
MARCH 15, 2011
Bank of America Merill Lynch weighs in on Canadian real estate
MARCH 02, 2011
Scotia calculates the risk of sharp housing correction is 'low'; Gaping holes in their logic
FEBRUARY 02, 2011
Is homeowner equity a predictor of future price movements?